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Archive for October 18th, 2009

Foreclosures On Pace To Hit 3.5 Million

Sunday, October 18th, 2009

There were over 900,000 foreclosures in the third quarter asForeclosures rise 5 percent from summer to fall.

The number of households caught up in the foreclosure crisis rose more than 5 percent from summer to fall as a federal effort to assist struggling borrowers was overwhelmed by a flood of defaults among people who lost their jobs.

The foreclosure crisis affected nearly 938,000 properties in the July-September quarter, compared with about 890,000 in the prior three months, according to a report released Thursday by RealtyTrac Inc. That puts foreclosure-related filings on a pace to hit about 3.5 million this year, up from more than 2.3 million last year.

“The sheer scale of the problem is preventing the loan modification programs from having the kind of impact we’d all like” said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac’s senior vice president for marketing.

Some homeowners are in such a massive financial hole that it’s hard to design a modification that will actually provide lower payments. And some have avoided paying their monthly bills for a long time.

According to the RealtyTrac report, there were nearly 344,000 foreclosure-related filings last month, down 4 percent from a month earlier but still the third-highest month since the report started in early 2005.

It was the seventh-straight month in which more than 300,000 households receiving a foreclosure filing, which includes default notices and several other legal notices that homeowners receive before they finally lose their homes.

Banks repossessed nearly 88,000 homes in September, up from about 76,000 a month earlier.

On a state-by-state basis, Nevada had the nation’s highest foreclosure rate in the July-September quarter. Arizona was No. 2, followed by California, Florida and Idaho. Rounding out the top 10 were Utah, Georgia, Michigan, Colorado and Illinois.

As I have stated before, bailing out the banks did nothing for cash-strapped, unemployed consumers stuck in homes they cannot sell because they are too far underwater.

Supposedly the administration’s programs have helped 500,000 but many of them will end up defaulting anyway. Assume a 50% failure rate and 250,000 were “helped”. Yet we are on a pace for 3.5 million foreclosures.

Moreover, many of those “helped” were probably better off walking away. Meanwhile unemployment is 9.8% and rising. I expect to see close to 11% next year and stubbornly high unemployment for a decade.

Good luck getting sustained home price appreciation out of that mix, especially with boomers retiring and looking to downsize. Structural problems are massive.

Source: Mish’s Global Economic Trends

Other stories at We Are Change Colorado Springs

U.S. Foreclosure Filings Jump 23% to Record in Third Quarter

Brace for a Wave of Foreclosures, the Dam is About to Break

The Truth About Unemployment

Russia and Iran Now OFFICIALLY Talking of Dumping Dollar for International Trade

Sunday, October 18th, 2009

After the Independent reported that Middle Eastern oil producers, plus China, Japan and France have all agreed to start trading oil using a basket of currencies – instead of the dollar – starting in 9 years, spokesmen for those governments denied it.

The Independent’s reporter explained why the governments were denying the rumor.

But now the governments themselves are starting to admit that they are switching out of the dollar.

For example, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said Wednesday that Russia is ready to consider using the Russian and Chinese national currencies instead of the dollar in bilateral oil and gas dealings. As Russia’s newspaper RIA Novosti writes:

Russia is ready to consider using the Russian and Chinese national currencies instead of the dollar in bilateral oil and gas dealings, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday.

The premier, currently on a visit to Beijing, said a final decision on the issue can only be made after a thorough expert analysis.

“Yesterday, energy companies, in particular Gazprom, raised the question of using the national currency. We are ready to examine the possibility of selling energy resources for rubles, but our Chinese partners need rubles for that. We are also ready to sell for yuans,” Putin said.

And Iran’s Press TV reports that Iran wants to completely drop the dollar from its foreign exchange:

Since October 2007, Iran has received 85 percent of its oil revenues in currencies other than the US dollar and Tehran is determined to find a substitute for the US dollar for the rest of its 15 percent of oil revenues, the report added.

This story is confirmed by the Tehran Times, which notes:

In line with this plan, Iran has informed Japan that it should use the yen instead of dollars to pay for the oil it buys from the Islamic Republic.

In addition, Iran has decided to open a bourse for oil and gas transactions in currencies other than the U.S. dollar, especially the euro.

As I have repeatedly noted, many countries have been moving out of the dollar for years. The process is simply accelerating.

Source: Washington’s Blog

Other stories at We Are Change Colorado Springs

The Demise of the Dollar

IMF chief hails ‘new era of collaborative global governance’

How the Federal Reserve rips you off